A Framework for Studying Caribbean Industrial Policy
构建了一个分析加勒比国家产业政策的框架，指出当前吸引外资出口导向的模式可能不利于社会发展，但需更多实证研究来评估其在不同国家和具体目标上的效果。
Like much of the Third World, Caribbean countries have in recent years aggressively pursued an industrial policy that seeks to attract foreign industrialists to produce for export. Researchers, although fiequently lacking evidence for key variables and their interrelationships, have rendered an unwarranted final judgment that the current development model is negative for the Caribbean. In response, this paper develops a broad fiamnework for understanding the constraints on, and the potential of, Caribbean industrial policy. The fiamework (1) situates the prevailing industrial policy among interrelated issues, such as Caribbean development strategy, debt, trade, race, gender, and technology; (2) highlights important concerns for which we thus far lack details, such as the performance of domestic manufacturers and the fuill costs of industrial policy; and (3) provides an organizational tool for empirically informed research on industrial policy in developing countries. The framework offers a pessimistic interim evaluation of Caribbean industrial policy, suggesting many reasons why it is unlikely to repay host societies with social development. It leaves open the possibility, however, that further empirically informed analysis will find that the prospects are more favorable in some countries, and for more specific goals, such as expanded industrial export opportunities, economic diversification, and the acquisition of managerial skills.