Work as a Turning Point in the Life Course of Criminals: A Duration Model of Age, Employment, and Recidivism
通过事件史模型分析一项全国性工作实验，发现就业对降低再犯率的效果因年龄而异：27岁及以上犯罪者从边缘就业机会中获益，而青少年和二十出头者效果不显著。
crimes? Prior research is inconclusive because work effects have been biased by selectivity and obscured by the interaction of age and employment. This study yields more refined estimates by specifying event history models to analyze assignment to, eligibility for, and current participation in a national work experiment for criminal offenders. Age is found to interact with employment to affect the rate of self-reported recidivism: Those aged 27 or older are less likely to report crime and arrest when provided with marginal employment opportunities than when such opportunities are not provided. Among young participants, those in their teens and early twenties, the experimental job treatment had little effect on crime. Work thus appears to be a turning point for older, but not younger, offenders.