非参数不可观测分布下离散选择动态规划模型的识别

IDENTIFICATION OF DISCRETE CHOICE DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING MODELS WITH NONPARAMETRIC DISTRIBUTION OF UNOBSERVABLES

Econometric Theory · 2016
被引 18
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对Rust(1994)类离散选择动态规划模型,提出在效用函数参数化但不可观测状态变量分布非参数化时的半参数识别条件,不依赖终端期数据,适用于无限期模型。

Abstract

This paper presents semiparametric identification results for the Rust (1994) class of discrete choice dynamic programming (DCDP) models. We develop sufficient conditions for identification of the deep structural parameters for the case where the per-period utility function ascribed to one choice in the model is parametric but the distribution of unobserved state variables is nonparametric. The proposed identification strategy does not rely on availability of the terminal period data and can therefore be applied to infinite horizon structural dynamic models. Identifying power comes from assuming that the agent’s per-period utilities admit continuous choice-specific state variables that are observed with sufficient variation and satisfy certain conditional independence assumptions on the joint time series of observables. These conditions allow us to formulate exclusion restrictions for identifying the primitive structural functions of the model.

离散选择动态规划非参数分布结构参数识别排除性约束