多元Logit模型中大量二元选择的参数估计

Parameter estimation in multivariate logit models with many binary choices

Econometric Reviews · 2015
被引 34
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

针对多元Logit模型在大量二元选择时计算量过大的问题,提出了三种新估计方法,在保持小样本偏差的同时大幅降低计算时间,对从事离散选择模型研究的学者有参考价值。

Abstract

Multivariate Logit models are convenient to describe multivariate correlated binary choices as they provide closed-form likelihood functions. However, the computation time required for calculating choice probabilities increases exponentially with the number of choices, which makes maximum likelihood-based estimation infeasible when many choices are considered. To solve this, we propose three novel estimation methods: (i) stratified importance sampling, (ii) composite conditional likelihood (CCL), and (iii) generalized method of moments, which yield consistent estimates and still have similar small-sample bias to maximum likelihood. Our simulation study shows that computation times for CCL are much smaller and that its efficiency loss is small.

多元Logit模型二元选择参数估计复合条件似然