Evidence of Convergence Clubs Using Mixture Models
提出一种基于核密度估计的序贯检验方法，用于确定有限混合模型中的组数，从而识别跨国收入趋同俱乐部。模拟和实证显示存在三个趋同俱乐部。
Cross-country economic convergence has been increasingly investigated by finite mixture models. Multiple components in a mixture reflect groups of countries that converge locally. Testing for the number of components is crucial for detecting ``convergence clubs''. To assess the number of components of the mixture, we propose a sequential procedure that compares the shape of the hypothesized mixture distribution with the true unknown density, consistently estimated through a kernel estimator. The novelty of our approach is its capability to select the number of components along with a satisfactory fitting of the model. Simulation studies and an empirical application to per capita income distribution across countries testify for the good performance of our approach. A three-clubs convergence seems to emerge.