Estimation and Testing of a Dynamic Sales Response Model with Data Aggregated over Time: Some Results for the Autoregressive Current Effects Model
研究了使用时间聚合数据估计和检验动态销售反应模型时，自回归当前效应模型的估计量表现和参数显著性检验效力，指出某些估计量在实证中效果不佳。
Using data aggregated over time, the author investigates the issues surrounding the estimation and testing of a sales response function where the dynamic response elements are confined to the random component of the model. This specification of a response function is elegant and helps circumvent some problems associated with models containing lagged sales terms. The estimation of such a model is theoretically straightforward. The study shows, however, that despite theoretical superiority, some estimators provide bad empirical values for dynamic response parameters; furthermore, the fact that the estimated parameter efficiency often is biased compromises the power of parameter significance tests. The author details the conditions under which the econometric results of such a model are interpretable and powerful, as well as the instances in which they should be evaluated carefully.