生存概率、交易成本与风险态度对年金需求的影响

The Effects of Survival Probabilities, Transactions Cost and the Attitude Towards Risk on the Demand for Annuities

Journal of Risk & Insurance · 1986
被引 9
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了生存概率、交易成本和风险态度如何影响年金需求,发现部分结果反直觉,且因年金与人寿保险本质不同,这些结论不适用于人寿保险市场。

Abstract

Uncertain lifetimes induce two different types of insurance markets: (a) annuity, and (b) life insurance. The annuity market differs crucially from the life insurance market in two important respects: (1) The demand for (term) life insurance will be generated by a bequest motive; (2) the demand for life insurance will be positive if the decision-maker (dm) chooses to borrow against future income streams. On the other hand, intertemporal decision making with uncertain lifetimes alone is a strong enough motivation for the existence of an annuity market. In this paper, we shall investigate how survival probabilities (and longevity), transactions cost and attitude towards risk affect the demand for annuities. Some of the results are counter-intuitive. These results need not carry over to the life insurance market because of the fundamental differences between an annuity and the life insurance. The paper is organized as follows: section II lays out the basic two period framework in which the analysis is carried out in section III. Section IV concludes with a discussion of our results and directions for future research.

年金保险经济学不确定性决策风险管理