商业调查中两种稳健估计方法的比较

A Comparison of two Robust Estimation Methods for Business Surveys

International Statistical Review · 2016
被引 12
ABS 3

中文导读

比较了商业调查中常用的两种稳健估计方法(双侧M估计和单侧Winsorisation),基于英国零售销售调查数据模拟发现两者性能相似,单侧M估计对正变量略优,调参比方法选择更重要。

Abstract

Summary Two alternative robust estimation methods often employed by National Statistical Institutes in business surveys are two‐sided M‐estimation and one‐sided Winsorisation, which can be regarded as an approximate implementation of one‐sided M‐estimation. We review these methods and evaluate their performance in a simulation of a repeated rotating business survey based on data from the Retail Sales Inquiry conducted by the UK Office for National Statistics. One‐sided and two‐sided M‐estimation are found to have very similar performance, with a slight edge for the former for positive variables. Both methods considerably improve both level and movement estimators. Approaches for setting tuning parameters are evaluated for both methods, and this is a more important issue than the difference between the two approaches. M‐estimation works best when tuning parameters are estimated using historical data but is serviceable even when only live data is available. Confidence interval coverage is much improved by the use of a bootstrap percentile confidence interval.

商业调查稳健估计M估计Winsorisation置信区间