基于纵向生物标志物测量的分位数剩余寿命回归用于动态预测

Quantile Residual Life Regression with Longitudinal Biomarker Measurements for Dynamic Prediction

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics · 2016
被引 13
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了一种分位数回归方法,通过灵活纳入基线后纵向收集的生物标志物测量值,动态预测患者的剩余寿命分位数,对临床预后评估和治疗决策有重要价值。

Abstract

Summary Residual life is of great interest to patients with life threatening disease. It is also important for clinicians who estimate prognosis and make treatment decisions. Quantile residual life has emerged as a useful summary measure of the residual life. It has many desirable features, such as robustness and easy interpretation. In many situations, the longitudinally collected biomarkers during patients' follow-up visits carry important prognostic value. In this work, we study quantile regression methods that allow for dynamic predictions of the quantile residual life, by flexibly accommodating the post-baseline biomarker measurements in addition to the baseline covariates. We propose unbiased estimating equations that can be solved via existing L1-minimization algorithms. The resulting estimators have desirable asymptotic properties and satisfactory finite sample performance. We apply our method to a study of chronic myeloid leukaemia to demonstrate its usefulness as a dynamic prediction tool.

分位数回归剩余寿命动态预测纵向数据生物标志物