化石燃料生产商面临威胁

Fossil fuel producers under threat

Oxford Review of Economic Policy · 2016
被引 47
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

油气生产商面临低价格、气候政策收紧和技术替代三大威胁,可能导致资产搁置和估值下降,呼吁撤资化石燃料,并指出资源丰富国家因未利用过去收益实现经济多元化而处境艰难。

Abstract

Oil and gas producers face three threats: prolonged low oil and gas prices, tightening of climate policy and a tough budget on cumulative carbon emissions, and technological innovation producing cheap substitutes for oil and gas. These threats pose real risks of putting oil and gas producers out of business. They lead to the problem of stranded assets and a significant downward valuation of oil and gas producers. This calls for divesting from and shorting coal, oil, and gas. The economies of oil- and gas-rich countries are typically in a deplorable state, since they did not use their past windfalls to build up buffers and invest in a diversified economy. More rapacious depletion of their oil and gas reserves will not help. After the crash in oil and gas prices these countries are facing serious problems and it is difficult to see how they will cope with the outlined threats.

化石燃料生产商资产搁浅气候政策能源转型