永不开始:论无承诺的前景理论

Never, Ever Getting Started: On Prospect Theory Without Commitment

Mathematical Finance · 2016
被引 23
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了缺乏承诺机制的前景理论决策者在投资或赌博中的行为,发现即使预期收益极高,他们也不会参与股市或赌博。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is aware of his time‐inconsistency but lacks commitment. For the empirically relevant prospect theory specifications, we obtain the extreme prediction that such a decision maker never gambles or invests in the stock market—even if expected gains are arbitrarily high. Our analysis illustrates some of the challenges in applying prospect theory to dynamic settings.

前景理论行为经济学投资决策时间不一致性