Smoothing Mortality Data: TheEnglish Life Tables, 2010–2012
描述了用于编制2010–2012年第17版英国生命表的最新统计方法,通过广义加性模型和低维参数模型平滑粗死亡率,并采用模型平均处理高龄组的不确定性。
Summary We describe the most recent statistical methodology used to produce the 17th English Life Table, covering the period 2010–2012. Crude mortality rates are smoothed, or graduated, by using a combination of a generalized additive model and low dimensional parametric models. The approach to graduation acknowledges uncertainty, particularly in the highest age groups, by model averaging, using a simplified version of a full Bayesian analysis.