风险厌恶下的产能投资决策

Capacity investment decisions under risk aversion

Naval Research Logistics · 2016
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了风险厌恶决策者在多期中的最优产能投资问题,发现产能与消费决策可分离,并在参数稳定时可由静态(s,S)策略刻画。

Abstract

Abstract This article studies the optimal capacity investment problem for a risk‐averse decision maker. The capacity can be either purchased or salvaged, whereas both involve a fixed cost and a proportional cost/revenue. We incorporate risk preference and use a consumption model to capture the decision maker's risk sensitivity in a multiperiod capacity investment model. We show that, in each period, capacity and consumption decisions can be separately determined. In addition, we characterize the structure of the optimal capacity strategy. When the parameters are stationary, we present certain conditions under which the optimal capacity strategy could be easily characterized by a static two‐sided ( s , S ) policy, whereby, the capacity is determined only at the beginning of period one, and held constant during the entire planning horizon. It is purchased up to B when the initial capacity is below b , salvaged down to Σ when it is above σ, and remains constant otherwise. Numerical tests are presented to investigate the impact of demand volatility on the optimal capacity strategy. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 218–235, 2016

运营管理产能规划风险决策随机需求