考虑供应波动和干中学的可再生能源生产的非自主最优控制模型

A non-autonomous optimal control model of renewable energy production under the aspect of fluctuating supply and learning by doing

OR Spectrum · 2016
被引 11
ABS 3

中文导读

研究一个小国如何最优组合化石能源和可再生能源,以应对可再生能源供应波动和高投资成本,并考虑学习效应对长期能源规划的影响。

Abstract

Given the constantly raising world-wide energy demand and the accompanying increase in greenhouse gas emissions that pushes the progression of climate change, the possibly most important task in future is to find a carbon-low energy supply that finds the right balance between sustainability and energy security. For renewable energy generation, however, especially the second aspect turns out to be difficult as the supply of renewable sources underlies strong volatility. Further on, investment costs for new technologies are so high that competitiveness with conventional energy forms is hard to achieve. To address this issue, we analyze in this paper a non-autonomous optimal control model considering the optimal composition of a portfolio that consists of fossil and renewable energy and which is used to cover the energy demand of a small country. While fossil energy is assumed to be constantly available, the supply of the renewable resource fluctuates seasonally. We further on include learning effects for the renewable energy technology, which will underline the importance of considering the whole life span of such a technology for long-term energy planning decisions.

可再生能源能源经济学环境经济学最优控制能源组合