An Analysis of Dynamic Econometric Relationship between Development of Urbanization and Growth of Energy Consumption
运用协整分析和因素分解模型,研究了城市化与能源消费的动态关系,发现两者长期相关但修正作用不显著,当前城市化对能源消费贡献较小且呈下降趋势,能源需求不会成为陕西城市化的瓶颈。
This paper applies co-integration analysis to test the dynamic correlations between development of urbanization and growth of energy consumption,and calculates the contribution of urbanization to change of energy consumption with the factor decomposition model.The result shows that there exists a long-term relationship between urbanization and energy consumption.However,in the long run,the role of correction is not prominent.In current conditions,the contribution of urbanization to the energy consumption is smaller,and its trend is decreasing.Therefore,the energy need will not become restricts in Shaanxi urbanization advancement the bottleneck.