Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point
通过比较农业部门工资与劳动边际生产率及实际工资变动，发现边际生产率仍低于工资，实际工资未达峰值，认为中国尚未到达刘易斯转折点。
In recent years,the increase of nominal wage and the shortage of migrant labor attract the attention on whether China's Lewis turning point has come.Based on the literature review,this paper tries to identify the Lewis turning point from the comparison between wages and the marginal productivity(MP) of labor in the agricultural sector and the real wages movements.The results show that the marginal productivity is still less than the wage,besides of its dramatic increase,the turning point in China has not come.Although the nominal wage experienced a trend of increase,the real wages experienced a decline and recovery,and did not reach the peak. There are no enough evidences to support that China's Lewis turning point has come.