Spatiotemporal Pattern of Industrialization, Information, Urbanization and Agricultural modernization of Prefecture Level Cities or above in China based on ESDA and GWR
分析了2001-2011年中国343个地级及以上城市新型四化协调发展的时空格局、空间相关性和影响因素，发现空间差异显著，人均GDP有正向影响，其他因素多为负向。
Taking the industrialization, information, urbanization and agricultural modernization as the measuring indicator, this paper analyses the spatiotemporal pattern, spatial correlations and impact factors of the coordination development of new four modernizations of 343 prefecture-level cities or above in China from 2001 to 2011 by use of ESDA-GWR, gravity center migration, hot-spots analysis and trend surface analysis. The results show as following. The spatial difference of the coordination development of new four modernizations in significantly, showing a trend of the Norththe middle China the South,and the western Chinathe eastern Chinathe middle China. The calculate result of Moran's I shows that the density of the coordination development of new four modernizations of prefecture-level cities or above in China has a significant and growing global spatial autocorrelation characteristic and spatial cluster, regional disparities trend of income gap is more and more obvious. All the gravity center of the coordinated development of new four modernizations focus in the central of Henan province, and the center of gravity migration direction is moving northwest first, and then move to the northeast from 2001 to 2011. The most of type of the coordination development of new four modernizations is mild disorders and on the verge of disorder, which shows that the situation of the four modernizations in China is more serious. The hot spots of the four modernizations distribute intensively in east of the coastal zone ofHu Huanyong Line. The impact factors of the four modernizations include per capita investment in fixed assets ratio between urban and rural, per capita gross domestic product, per capita social retail sales of consumer goods, per capita expenditure on education, per capita income ratio between urban and rural, and per capita consumption ratio between urban and rural and so on. Among them, per capita gross domestic product have robust and positive impacts on the coordinating state of new four modernizations, while others impact factors have negative influence on the coordinating state of new four modernizations.