Factors Influencing Farmers Willingness to Participate in Grain for Green Project in the Post-program Era
基于2012年农户调查数据，用二元Logistic回归分析发现，在后项目期，政府强制背景下，农户参与意愿主要受是否自愿参与、政策认知及执行水平影响，而非项目净效用或家庭禀赋。
Based on theoretical research of factors influencing farmers' willingness to participate in Grain for Green Project,using data from household survey in 2012 an empirical analysis was carried out with the method of binary logistic regression.The results show:on the context of government enforcement,instead of the net utility of the project and household endowment the primary influencing factors are farmers participated in the project was voluntary or not,their perception of related policies and on what level the policies was implemented.Among these,①those farmers who were consulted by the forestry sector before the implementation of the project,understood the policies,knew the purpose of the program,were motivated by compensation and received compensation on time have strong willingness to participate in the grain for green project.②The opportunity cost of land hardly exert any effect on farmers' willingness in participation,however,increasing opportunity cost of land as well as high costs of afforestation undermine farmers' willingness.Besides,the negative effect of opportunity cost of labor cannot be ignored.③Non-monetary gains such as giving farmers the ownership of trees,extend the term of land use right etc have a positive influence on farmers' willingness.The effects of compensation,revenues of conversion land and the benefits farmers' can gain from production restructure was failed to be confirmed.④ Households relying on plantation for their living were reluctant to participate the project.