The 12th Five-Year Provincial Carbon Dioxide Emission Control and Assessment of Reduction Pressure in China
计算了十二五期间中国各省的二氧化碳控制排放量，分析了区域减排压力，发现若各省执行国家分配方案，减排目标可实现92%以上，但2015年排放仍比2010年增加40亿吨，东部和北方压力更大。
This study calculated the amount of controlled carbon dioxide(CO2) emissions in Chinese provinces during the 12th five-year planning period as well as analyzed regional emission reduction pressure and the reduction target realization achieved in the whole country. If each province were to implement the national emission allocation scheme, the realization of the emission reduction target will reach 92% or more. However, the 12th five-year emission reduction target cannot be fully realized. In 2015, 30 provinces will emit a total of 15.2 billion tons of CO2, increasing by 4 billion tons during the 12th five-year period. Although the emission intensity target is set to decline for every province, the CO2 emissions in 2015 will continue to increase compared with the CO2 emissions in 2010. The amount of increase exhibits a significant difference among regions, with the amount of emissions from eastern and northern China being higher than that of other regions. Comparing the actual increments during the 11th and 12th five-year periods, coastal and northern China will be faced with greater pressure to reduce emissions. The central, western, and northeast regions face a less pressure. In the base and target years, the spatial distribution of CO2 emissions, emission intensity, and emissions increment are measured. Finally, a number of suggestions are proposed based on the calculation process and result analysis.