刑事司法系统中的个性化风险评估

Personalized Risk Assessments in the Criminal Justice System

American Economic Review · 2016
被引 26
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了纽约市拦截盘查项目,提出个性化风险评估工具可帮助警察实时做出更优拦截决策,并审计过往行动,发现大量拦截可能缺乏证据、违宪。

Abstract

In an effort to bring greater efficiency, equity, and transparency to the criminal justice system, statistical risk assessment tools are increasingly used to inform bail, sentencing, and parole decisions. We examine New York City's stop-and-frisk program, and propose two new use cases for personalized risk assessments. First, we show that risk assessment tools can help police officers make considerably better real-time stop decisions. Second, we show that such tools can help audit past actions; in particular, we argue that a sizable fraction of police stops were conducted on the basis of little evidence, in possible violation of constitutional protections.

个性化风险评估刑事司法拦截盘查警察决策