Bayesian Persuasion in Coordination Games
研究政策制定者如何通过承诺在基本面低于阈值时自动放弃政权，来传递信息并影响代理人攻击决策，从而提高政权生存概率。
We analyze a coordination game of regime change where the policy maker, who tries to increase the probability of the survival of the regime, commits ex ante to abandon the regime automatically when its fundamentals are below a certain threshold. This policy acts as an information transmission mechanism: agents, who decide whether to attack the regime or not, update positively about the fundamentals of the regime when they see that it has not been abandoned, and so they are less likely to attack. Using the commitment ability, the policy maker can thus increase the overall survival probability of the regime.