Research on Regional Differences of Fossil Fuels Carbon Emissions in Guangdong
基于2000-2009年广东省化石燃料消费等数据，估算碳排放并分析其时空差异及影响因素，对理解低碳经济有参考价值。
Researches on the carbon emissions are an important basis for understanding and developing Low-carbon economy.Based on the statistical data of fossil fuel consumption,population and economic output in Guangdong during 2000-2009,the paper estimates the carbon emissions from fossil fuel in recent ten years of Guangdong Province,analyzes the regional difference of carbon emissions from the spatio-temporal angle,and then analyzes the influencing factors quantitatively with LMDI method.Results can be obtained as follows:(1) During 2000-2009 in Guangdong Province the total carbon emissions had great changes and it increased at a faster pace,which showed three characteristics in the time series:rapid,steady and stable growth;carbon emissions in Guangdong was mainly from industrial plants and different industry had obviously different characteristics.(2) According to the cluster analysis of carbon emissions between prefecture-level cities in Guangdong,it indicates that for many years,the carbon emissions of Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Dongguan and Foshan cluster in the highest levels with large gap between other cities,and the spatial changes of GDP are similar.Meanwhile,changes in carbon emissions presented acenter-peripherystructure in space,showing the evolution rules of clustering to spread.(3) Analysis also shows that,economic development,energy consumption structure,energy consumption intensity,industrial structure,import and export trade and regional economic policy are major factors leading to the regional differences of carbon emissions in Guangdong.In addition,other impacts of carbon emissions are also not allowed to ignore,such as the development level of transport,dweller standard of living and LUCC and so on.