The Evolution of China-Myanmar Geo-Relations Based on Event Data Analysis
从地理、国际关系和政治学视角,基于事件数据分析21世纪以来中缅地缘关系的演变阶段、周期性特征及其与美缅关系的负相关,并探讨地缘政治、地缘经济和地缘文化的作用机制。
Myanmar is adjacent to China in geography. It locates in the Crossroads of and has an important geopolitical position through which China accesses to the Indian Ocean. The relations between China and Myanmar play a vital role in safeguarding Chinese energy security, promoting the development of Southwest China, breaking the Asia Pacific Ring of encirclement made by the USA, and implementing new geopolitical strategies. Thus, adopting disciplinary perspectives of geography, international relations and political science, this paper studies the evolution of geopolitical relations between China and Myanmar based on event data analysis since twenty- first century, and further explores evolution mechanism. Three main results are concluded as follows:(1) Since 2000, the bilateral relations between China and Myanmar could be divided into the following four stages: Steady development, Rapid development,Comprehensive development and adjustment period.(2) There are the peaks of bilateral relations every five or six years.As a whole, the peaks of China- Myanmar relation and the troughs of America- Myanmar relation always appear in succession, which shows some negative correlation.(3) Geopolitics, geo- economy and geo- culture are the evolution mechanism of China-Myanmar geo-relations.