CONNECTION AND MECHANISM BETWEEN FOREIGN TRADE DIFFERENCE AND REGIONAL DISPARITY IN CHINESE MAINLAND
利用1985-2006年28个省份数据,通过探索性因子分析和聚类分析评估外贸与区域发展的不平衡,VEC模型显示两者存在长期均衡且外贸差异是区域差距的格兰杰原因,并分析了四种传导机制。
The synthetic evaluation based on the Exploratory Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis indicated that foreign trade development and regional development in Chinese mainland present unbalanced situation.According to VEC model checking result based on variation coefficient of average GDP per capita,total trade value and export value which 28 provinces' data in1985—2006 are used,there exists long-term equilibrium between regional disparity and regional foreign trade difference,furthermore,foreign trade difference is Granger Cause of regional disparity.Through the academic analysis,four kinds of mechanism conduct the affiliation between foreign trade and regional disparity,which includes: factor fluxion and factor earnings transformation,technical overflow and factor earnings transformation,factor accumulation and factor earnings transformation,institutional innovation and institutional transformation.