The Impacts of China's Family Planning Policy on the Household Savings Rate:Analysis Based on China's Provincial Panel Data
基于中国省级面板数据，研究发现计划生育政策在1991-1997年因征收社会抚养费降低了家庭储蓄率，而1998-2007年因性别比失衡导致的婚姻挤压提高了储蓄率，未来适度放宽政策有利于经济增长。
Based on the China's provincial panel data,the paper suggests that family planning policy had an important effect on the Chinese Household Savings Rate(HSR),but the impact is different From 1991 to 1997, due to the collection of social compensation fee,family planning policy reduced HSR.From 1998 to 2007,relative to more-than-two-children policy area,the HSR of only-one-daughter-can-have-another-child policy and two-child policy mixed areas is higher,but the main reason is family planning policy,with the unbalanced sex ratio,which caused marriage squeeze.Savings for marriage is more important than education.However,we can't ignore that the impact of per capita net income growth rate to HSR in rural areas has declined,and the HSR is expected to be reduced in the future.Moderately eased the family planning policy will be favorable for the economic growth and social development.