The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Turkey
利用叙利亚难民涌入土耳其这一准自然实验,研究了难民对当地劳动力市场、消费品价格和住房租金的影响,发现非正规就业者受到一定冲击,但部分被难民替代,同时非正规劳动密集型产品价格下降,高质量住房租金上涨。
The Syrian Conflict generated forced immigration from northern Syria to southeastern Turkey. Arrival of refugees resembles a natural experiment, which offers good opportunities to study the economic impact of immigration. I study three main outcomes: labor markets, consumer prices, and housing rents. I document moderate employment losses among native informal workers, which suggests that they are partly substituted by refugees. Prices of the items produced in informal labor intensive sectors declined due to labor cost advantages generated by refugee inflows. Finally, refugee inflows increased the rents of higher quality housing units, while there is no effect on lower quality units.