Chinese Agricultural Modernization Level Measurement and Volatility Trend Analysis Based on Grey Superior Analysis
用灰色优势分析法排除主观因素,从投入和产出指标测度中国农业现代化水平,发现1981-2010年波动特征显示农业正从低效高水平和高效低水平转向高效高水平发展。
In accordance with the principles of the importance and feasibility,the evaluation of agricultural modernization can be attributed to the indicators of output and input indicators two broad categories.Grey Superior Analysis excluding subjective factors in the case of the evaluation indicators of empowerment,this method can enhance the credibility of the evaluation system.The associated sequence of evaluation reflects the strength of the representation of the evaluation of indicators to measure the level of agricultural modernization.The Chinese agricultural modernization index fluctuations characteristic in the years 1981-2010 shows that: Chinese agricultural modernization has to get rid of thehigh-efficiency,low-levelandhigh-level,low-benefitnon-benign state,and tend to thehigh-efficiency,highlevelhealthy development.With the increasingly tight constraints of resources,environment,human and other factors on agriculture,the improvement of the level of agricultural modernization in China can not rely solely on the expansion of the agricultural input and output,must focus on the level of efficiency in the future.