The Influence of Guangdong Textile Industry for Economic Development and Its Competitiveness Analysis
基于2000-2011年数据，用Logistic模型和动态SSSM方法分析广东纺织业发展阶段与竞争力，发现其未衰退但优势不再，原料成本、汇率和劳动生产率是关键因素。
Based on the actual data of Guangdong textile industry from 2000 to 2011, the paper uses Logistic model and the marginal analysis method to determine Guangdong textile industry development stage,and then using dynamic SSSM method to Measure of the competitiveness of textile industry in Guangdong,finally,by using grey correlation model to identify the dominant factors of the textile industry in Guangdong.The results show that: 1) Guangdong textile industry has not fallen into recession which can promote the economic development in Guangdong; 2) Comparing to the adjacent provinces, the competitive advantage of Guangdong textile industry has no longer existed,but it can utilize the opportunity of the adjacent provinces textile industry rapid development and advantages of the industrial structure to promote the development of itself; 3) In various factors, raw material costs, exchange rate and labor productivity are dominant factors for the textile industry in Guangdong.According to the results of this study, some suggestions have been proposed.