Farmers Land Expropriation Willingness Based on IAD Extension Decision Model
基于奥斯特罗姆IAD扩展框架和广东21市2013年调查数据，用二元逻辑回归分析失地农民与未失地农民在土地征收意愿上的差异，发现程序公平比货币补偿更重要，且土地产权问题不能仅靠征收制度改革解决。
Based on the extension framework of Elinor Ostrom IAD model, by using binary logistic regression model,according the 2013 survey data from 21 cities in Guangdong province, focus on the farmer willingness of land expropriate in the land system reform, and subdivision the willingness difference between land- taken farmer and landkeep farmer, the results showed that the cognitive reform variables impose a significant impact on land expropriate willingness of both. However, based on the perception and predict the prior result information of the final act, they showed different variables characteristics in land expropriate willingness in the near- homogeneous action arena, which shows that land-keep farmer make willingness by referring to land-taken farmer, revise willingness decision according to incentives system and expected income. In addition, regression model showed that among the affecting factors of landtaken willingness, Procedural fairness(Protocol Land- taken) is superior to monetary compensation. The distribution of land property rights can not be resolve only by the reform of land expropriation system itself.