EMPIRICAL STUDY OF ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE IN SOUTH JIANGSU
利用苏南1986-2004年面板数据建立计量模型，发现污染排放与人均GDP呈N型关系而非传统倒U型，苏南仍处于污染上升期，需调整产业结构以实现经济与环境双赢。
The Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC) hypothesis states that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental degradation and the level of income.As the most developed region in China.The empirical study of Environmental Kuznets Curve in South Jiangsu will identify the phase of development and forecast the trend of future.It is more important that the results will be used for reference for any other regions in Jiangsu province and China.In this paper,environmental and economic data from 1986 to 2004 in South Jiangsu are used to establish an econometric model,which can be applied to explain the pattern of pollution emission and economic development.We use the random effects model of panel data to estimate the model.The results shows that the relationship between pollution emission and economic development in a new pattern of EKC as an N.The industrial pollution emission increased wavily along with the increase of GDP per capita.It is not same as the traditional inverted U-shaped.Sunan is still at the period of pollution emission increasing.Therefore,in order to achieve the pollution emission decrease and the win-win for economic development and environmental protection,it is urgent for Sunan to adjust the industrial structure,increase environmental devotion and change the economic development mode.