TOURISM ECONOMIC IMPACT ON SHANGHAI BY USING INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL
利用2002年上海统计年鉴和1997年投入产出表数据,计算了上海旅游业的产出乘数(2.8876)和收入乘数(0.6497),发现游客支出主要影响商业服务、化工、贸易、餐饮和交通等部门的产出,并与香港、新加坡等地进行了比较。
With the employment of input-output model,after analyzing the data in Shanghai statistical yearbook 2002 and Shanghai input-output table 1997,this article calculates the direct and multiplier economic impacts of tourism on Shanghai and then works out that the output multiplier of Shanghai tourism is 2.8876 and the income multiplier is 0.6497.Meanwhile it is concluded that the tourists' expenditures have the multiplier effects mainly on output in sectors such as service for business,chemical manufactures,trade,food and beverage services and transportation.In addition,Shanghai tourism multiplier is compared with that of Hong Kong,Singapore,Qinhuangdao and Tianjin.Finally the article discusses the advantages and disadvantages of both the input-output model and tourism-satellite-account for the analysis of tourism economic impact.