The Correlation Analysis of Tourism Industry Development and Economic Growth of Anhui
基于2000-2012年数据,用线性回归分析安徽省旅游收入与GDP的关系,发现旅游收入每增1%带动GDP增长约0.55%,旅游外汇收入每增1%带动GDP增长约0.65%。
According to Anhui tourism statistical data from 2000 to 2012,without taking the influence of price changes into account,linear-regression analysis was conducted between Anhui tourism revenue and GDP with the Eviews software. The results showed there exists a long-term co-integrating relationship among Anhui tourism revenue,tourist foreign exchange income and GDP. Tourism revenue can fuel the local economy greatly,with every 1% increase in tourism revenue,GDP will grow approximately 0. 55%; with every 1% increase in tourist foreign exchange income,GDP will grow about 0. 65%. Accordingly,we put forward improvement suggestions such as,the seriation of tourism products,the expansion of tourism industry,the fusion of tourism culture,the integration of urban and rural tourism,and the intellectualization of tourism services. These measures are aimed at improving Anhui tourism income level and promoting regional economic development.