THE EVOLVEMENT OF TOURIST FLOW OVER THE PAST TEN YEARS IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE
提出潜在国内出游力（LDE）作为替代指标，分析广东省21市1999至2008年游客流演变规律，发现旅游辐射力与吸引力高度相关且逐年增强，城市游客流与其经济发展水平密切相关。
As actual tourism expenditure of a city is not always been easy to obtain,this paper invent latent domestic emissiveness(LDE) as a substitutive index to evaluate the tourism emissiveness of a city.In a provincial scale,by contrasting LDE with tourism income,a good index to evaluate the tourism attraction,we can get the law how tourist flow changes using the method of Sequential Pattern Analysis.Based on the statistic data of 21 cities in Guangdong province in 1999 and 2008,this paper gets some conclusion as follows: ①there is high relevance degree between tourism emissiveness and tourism attraction in the 21 Guangdong cities,and the relevance degree has been getting higher through the years.②According to the evolvement of the tourist flow,we can divide the 21 Guangdong cities into three types.③The tourist flow of a city is closely related to its economic development level.Highly developed cities not only have high tourism emissiveness but also are ideal tourism destinations.