Prediction on Carbon Emission in Six Provinces of China
采用最优增长模型计算中国六省能源碳排放，结合水泥生产碳排放和森林碳汇得到净碳排放，为各省制定减排策略提供参考。
The article discusses the method of predicting the region's Carbon emissions.Adopting the optimal growth model,this paper computes energy Carbon emissions of six provinces of China.Taking into account of Carbon emissions caused in cement production and forest Carbon sink calculated by CO2FIX model,we get the net carbon emissions to offer references for each province when making Carbon emissions strategy.The results show that energy Carbon emissions of each province increase as invertedUcurve.The order of energy Carbon emissions peak emerged are Henan,Hunan,Shanxi,Anhui,Jiangxi,Hubei.The cement industry's Carbon emissions in six provinces have shown a growing trend,the maximum is Henan and the minimum is Shanxi.As to forest Carbon sinks Jiangxi province is the largest,followed by Hunan province,Henan province is the smallest.Each province should control Carbon emissions generated by the cement industry while reducing energy Carbon emissions,positively enhance forest Carbon sinks,reduce Carbon emissions in many ways.