ANALYSIS OF THE INBOUND TOURISM DEVELOPMENT SIMILARIZATION IN YANGTZE-DELTA
以1991-2004年长三角各城市入境游客数为指标,用变异系数和基尼系数分析旅游发展趋同化,发现整体呈下降趋势,趋同速度约3.3%,并探讨了人口和经济的影响。
Taking the in-country tourist number from 1991 to 2004 as the index,this paper estimates the tourism development situation of each city in Yangtze-delta and then analyzes similarization of tourism development with the coefficient of variation and Gini Coefficient.As a result,the author found that although there were some fluctuations on both coefficients in the different year,the tourism development in Yangtze-delta had a falling trend as a whole,which just proved that it presented similarization in the development of Yangtze-delta.On the basic of this conclusion,the paper probed in the utter similarization and the qualification of similarization affected by population and economy.Out of analysis,author gained some phenomena as follows: firstly,it occurred similarization in the tourism development of Yangtze-delta and the speed of similarization from 1991 to 2004 is close to 3.3%;Secondly,the speed of similarization from 1991 to 1998 is 4.58% ,which is more than that from 1998 to 2004 as 3.24%.Thirdly,considering the effect of population and economy,the speed of most similarization is between 4.23% and 4.30%,which is more than utter similarization speed.And the author thinks of the driving of similarization and similarization as endogenetic driving and ectogenic driving,which is also market pull force and government regulating force.