Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Chinese Provincial Tourism Economy Based on PCA-ESDA
用主成分分析和空间自相关方法，分析了1999-2008年中国31个省份旅游经济的时空差异，发现长三角和珠三角向内陆递减、全局空间自相关不显著但局部有规律、发展持续不均衡。
Using 31 provincial regions in Chinese mainland for the research unit,this article chooses 10 indicators which can reflects the tourism economy from 1999 to 2008.By using the principal component analysis of SPSS16.0 to obtain the scores of each provincial tourism economy,which is the basic date for the next spatial autocorrelation analysis of China.Then analyzing the spatial and temporal differences of Chinese mainland's tourism economy.The results are as following:(1)The China's tourism economic development level presents the characteristics of gradually decreasing from the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta to the inland.(2) The global Moran's I is not obvious from 1999 to 2008,but the local spatial autocorrelation index has some regularity.(3) The development of Chinese provincial tourism has shown a sustained non-equilibrium situation.The overall spatial pattern of Chinese provincial tourism economy has not changed.(4) There are four reasons that affect Chinese mainland's provincial tourism economy differences: The spatial dependence of provincial tourism economy agglomeration;the difference of provincial economy;location and resource endowments;the government's policy.