Measurement and Decomposition Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Transportation Industry in Shanghai
基于IPCC数据计算2000-2010年上海交通碳排放，用LMDI分解发现能源强度降低是减排主因，人口和人均GDP促进排放增长。
On the basis of the statistical data of the IPCC reports,the paper calculates the carbon emissions from the transportation industry in Shanghai during 2000-2010,and then analyzes the tendency for the changes of carbon emissions per capita and carbon emission intensity.Taking 2000 as the base year,using LMDI decomposition method,the change of carbon emissions from traffic energy consumption has been decomposed.The results show:(1) The carbon emission intensity from traffic energy decreased,with energy intensity playing a major role.The effect of energy structure to the promotion of reducing carbon emission intensity was weak,but it appeared increasing trend.(2) Traffic carbon emissions increased year by year.The resident population and per capita GDP had promoting effects on increasing traffic carbon emissions,always producing positive effect.Except 2004,energy intensity always had negative effect.Energy structure always produced negative effect,having an important role for reducing carbon emissions.