Is Agricultural Growth the Most Important Driver of Rural Poverty Reduction in China
利用中国微观和宏观面板数据,质疑世界银行关于农业增长是中国农村减贫最重要驱动力的论断,认为偏向城市的工业化政策为农村剩余劳动力提供就业,才是减贫的关键。
The World Bank alleges that compared to the growth of other industries in China,agricultural growth is the ' most important' driver of poverty reduction in China However,this paper,using micro and macro panel data from China,empirically challenges this theory and arrives at different conclusions.The authors believe that,with the largest population in the world and small per capita cultivated farmland,it is not a good strategy for China to reduce rural poverty through development of agriculture.Employing urban biased polices to accumulate capital and create a huge and fast-growing secondary industry,it provides a lot of employment opportunities for those low-education and low-skill surplus labors from rural China,and as a result,provides chances for rural poor to escape from poverty trap.This experience has important implication for other big developing countries.