A STUDY ON LIFE CYCLE OF DESERT TOURIST AREA——A CASE STUDY OF BADAIN JARAN DESERT
以巴丹吉林沙漠为例，通过游客数量数据拟合数学模型预测未来游客量，判断该景区处于生命周期参与阶段并提出发展建议。
Tourist Area Life Cycle is the basic law of the evolution of tourist area.Based on the study on the life cycle of the desert tourist destination in our country,we carry a qualitative and quantitative analysis of evolution of the life cycle for Badain Jaran Desert Tourist Area.Based on the number of tourists these years,by the fittest mathematical model,we forecast the tourists' number from 2011 to 2013.We also believe that it is now in the involvement stage of the life cycle and has a great potential in the future.It is proposed that,in the next phase,we should enrich tourist products,improving facilities,strengthening the advertising work,and let it evolve to the stage of development.