Dynamic Simulationg of Land Use Change Under the Influence of Accessibility Factors——A Case Study of Jnkping Municipality,Sweden
以瑞典延雪平市为例，用CLUE-S模型模拟不同交通情景下未来25年的城市土地利用变化，发现交通因素显著影响土地利用类型转换，城市增长呈现填充式扩展和沿交通干线扩散两种模式。
The urban transportation is one of key factors impacted on urban morphology,and also is a major guidance to the development of cities.In this paper,the CLUE-S model was used to simulate the dynamic changes of urban development under different traffic scenarios as the case of J nk ping Municipality,Sweden.Firstly,driving factors were selected to build logistic regression equations based on the data of land use in 2000a.Secondly,the CLUE-S model was used to simulate changes of urban spatial patterns in the coming 25 years in different traffic scenarios on the basis of the model verification and parameters validation.The results showed that traffic factors had significant influence on regression results,and the correlation of land use type conversion probability varied with different types of roads and traffic facilities.From the dynamic simulation of spatial distribution patterns of land use under two kinds of different traffic planning scenarios,we may found that urban growth presented a filled-in expand and urban land newly increased distributed more concentrated in the center of the city where the traffic is convenient;While urban growth diffused along the traffic trunk lines in the city periphery.There was an obvious interaction between dynamic expanding of urban land use and urban traffic.