AN ANALYSIS OF THE POSITIVE EFFECT OF SINO-JAPAN TOURISM ON BILATERAL TRADE OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS
基于1992-2007年数据，分析中日旅游对双边贸易的积极影响，发现旅游与贸易存在显著推拉关系，并建立六个推拉模型。
Based on the relevant data from 1992 to 2007, this paper analyzes the positive effect of Sino-Japan tourism on bilateral trade from the perspective of four groups corresponding indicators. Results show that: with the increasing inbound and outbound tourists between China and Japan, Sino-Japan bilateral trade also grows up, and significant push-pull relationship is found between tourism and trade. On the basis of the statistics from 1992 to 2007, this paper establishes six push-pull models of outbound / inbound tourism on import, export, import and export trade from two sides of inbound tourism from Japan to China and China to Japan. Since China’s opening up gradually expanded, occupation ratio of Japanese tourists in China’s inbound tourists has gradually decreased, and China’s dependence on trade with Japan has also reduced. Since 1992, the occupation ratio of Chinese’ tourists in Japan’s inbound tourists and Japan's dependence on trade with China have gradually increased, and their growth trends and fluctuation cycle show strong time synchronization.