DYNAMIC COUPLING MECHANISM AND EMPIRICAL STUDY ON REGIONAL LOGISTICS SYSTEM AND ECONOMY GROWTH
利用系统动力学模型模拟区域物流系统与经济增长的动态关系，以天津滨海新区数据验证了物流适度超前发展在短期轻微抑制但长期显著促进经济增长的结论。
By utilizing a system dynamics model,simulate the dynamic co-relationship and coupling structure between regional logistics system and economy growth.Three effect subsystems and multiple feedback loops are constructed: demand-pulling and supply-pushing-mechanisms of regional economy to logistics system and feedback mechanism of logistics to economy.The data of Tianjin Binhai area are used to simulate three co-evolution routes in the scenarios of adaptive,modest leading of logistics and other industry prior development.The results show that self adaptive mechanism exists and modest leading development of logistics will slightly delay the growing speed of economy in short term but will significantly promote it in long term.