THE SPATIAL ECONOMETRICAL ANALYSIS TO INFLUENCING FACTORS OF CHINESE REGIONAL URBANIZATION LEVEL
基于2005年中国31个省份数据,用空间计量方法发现城市化存在空间溢出效应,且产业结构变化(尤其是第三产业)是主要驱动力,而教育滞后和城乡收入差距扩大有负面影响。
This paper attempts to investigate what factors contributed to the regional urbanization levels throughout 31 provinces of mainland China in 2005, based on spatial econometrical analyses. On one hand, we confirm the existence of spatial dependence on regional urbanization, namely the increase of urbanization level in one province will produce positive effect on its neighboring provinces through spatial spillovers; on the other hand, we find that the main driving-force behind urbanization, besides economic development and openness, is industrial structural change, especially development of tertiary industry. Lagged education and enlarging urban-rural income inequality have a negative impact on regional urbanization.