他为什么那样做?利用反事实研究意图在扩展式博弈中的作用

Why did he do that? Using counterfactuals to study the effect of intentions in extensive form games

Experimental Economics · 2017
被引 13
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过改变先动者的可选机会集,研究后动者如何根据先动者的意图(慷慨或脆弱性)做出反应,发现慷慨和脆弱性比效率或信任更重要。

Abstract

Abstract We investigate the role of intentions in two-player two-stage games. For this purpose we systematically vary the set of opportunity sets the first mover can choose from and study how the second mover reacts not only to opportunities of gains but also of losses created by the choice of the first mover. We find that the possibility of gains for the second mover (generosity) and the risk of losses for the first mover (vulnerability) are important drivers for second mover behavior. On the other hand, efficiency concerns and an aversion against violating trust seem to be far less important motivations. We also find that second movers compare the actual choice of the first mover and the alternative choices that would have been available to him to allocations that involve equal material payoffs.

反事实推理意图扩展式博弈机会集