国际旅游是否影响跨国恐怖主义?

Does International Tourism Affect Transnational Terrorism?

Journal of Travel Research · 2016
被引 56
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了国际旅游人数对跨国恐怖袭击的影响,发现游客数量与外国袭击者发动的袭击呈倒U型关系,且与袭击者和受害者均为外国人的袭击有显著正相关。

Abstract

Studies focusing on the relationship between transnational terrorism and tourism examine the effect of terror on tourism, while this study looks at a different question: does international tourism affect transnational terrorism? We hypothesized that the higher the number of international tourist arrivals to a country, the higher the number of terror attacks, and examined this effect from four distinct aspects: perpetration by foreign attackers against local victims, perpetration by local attackers against foreign victims, perpetration by foreign attackers against foreign victims, and perpetration of terror attacks against foreign private parties. We conclude that there is an inverse U relationship between number of arrivals and number of attacks perpetrated by foreigners, and also a robust significant relationship between number of arrivals to a country and terror attacks in which both the attacker and the victim are foreigners. However, it is not unequivocal whether this is a positive linear or an inverse U relationship.

旅游经济学恐怖主义研究国际关系犯罪学