国家履约核查的战略模型

A strategic model for state compliance verification

Naval Research Logistics · 2016
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

用有向图和非合作博弈理论,将国家秘密获取违禁武器的路径建模为非法策略,量化核查措施的有效性,并给出软件实现与案例。

Abstract

Abstract The theory of directed graphs and noncooperative games is applied to the problem of verification of State compliance to international treaties on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Hypothetical treaty violations are formulated in terms of illegal acquisition paths for the accumulation of clandestine weapons, weapons‐grade materials or some other military capability. The paths constitute the illegal strategies of a sovereign State in a two‐person inspection game played against a multi‐ or international Inspectorate charged with compliance verification. The effectiveness of existing or postulated verification measures is quantified in terms of the Inspectorate's expected utility at Nash equilibrium. A prototype software implementation of the methodology and a case study are presented. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 260–271, 2016

军备控制博弈论国际条约核查国家安全