从无穷可分分布中近似生成随机变量及其在贝叶斯推断中的应用

Approximate Random Variate Generation from Infinitely Divisible Distributions with Applications to Bayesian Inference

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology · 1995
被引 59
ABS 4

中文导读

本文提出一种通用方法,利用莱维表示中的傅里叶或拉普拉斯变换模拟无穷可分随机变量,并通过收敛定理提供理论保证,从而支持更广泛的随机过程作为先验进行贝叶斯非参数推断。

Abstract

SUMMARY Stochastic processes with independent increments play a central role in Bayesian nonparametric inference. The distributions of the increments of these processes, aside from fixed points of discontinuity, are infinitely divisible and their Laplace and/or Fourier transforms in the Lévy representation are usually known. Conventional Bayesian inference in this context has been limited largely to providing point estimates of the random quantities of interest, although Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have been used to obtain a fuller analysis in the context of Dirichlet process priors. In this paper, we propose and implement a general method for simulating infinitely divisible random variates when their Fourier or Laplace transforms are available in the Lévy representation. Theoretical justification is established by proving a convergence theorem that is a ‘sampling form’ of a classical theorem in probability. The results provide a method for implementing Bayesian nonparametric inference by using a wide range of stochastic processes as priors.

贝叶斯非参数推断随机过程马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛无穷可分分布拉普拉斯变换