风险下的群体决策规则与群体理性

Group decision rules and group rationality under risk

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · 2016
被引 31
ABS 3

中文导读

实验研究了多数决和全体一致两种群体决策规则在随机占优和Allais悖论任务中的表现,区分了沟通效应和聚合效应,发现沟通效应总能提高理性,而聚合效应有时有效有时无效。

Abstract

This paper investigates the rationality of group decisions versus individual decisions under risk. We study two group decision rules, majority and unanimity, in stochastic dominance and Allais paradox tasks. We distinguish communication effects (the effects of group discussions and interactions) from aggregation effects (mere impact of the voting procedure), which makes it possible to better understand the complex dynamics of group decision making. In an experiment, both effects occurred for intellective tasks whereas there were only aggregation effects in judgmental tasks. Communication effects always led to more rational choices; aggregation effects did so sometimes but not always. Groups violated stochastic dominance less often than individuals did, which was due to both aggregation and communication effects. In the Allais paradox tasks, there were almost no communication effects, and aggregation effects made groups deviate more from expected utility than individuals.

群体决策风险决策行为经济学实验经济学