向对手策略性披露有意义的信息

STRATEGIC DISCLOSURE OF MEANINGFUL INFORMATION TO RIVAL

Economic Inquiry · 2016
被引 2
ABS 3

中文导读

研究在存在外部性时,代理人如何策略性地向对手披露私人信号,发现披露均衡的存在条件取决于惩罚与奖励的不对称性。

Abstract

I study a model of strategic disclosure of a private signal to a rival in the presence of a payoff externality. In the model, two agents forecast the unknown true state of a future period. Specifically, the quality of the signal is also private information. Hence, which quality of signal is revealed for which incentive is the main question of interest. I show that, even when disclosure is costly, the revealing equilibrium, where an agent voluntarily reveals his signal, can exist and it should be a monotone equilibrium. Asymmetry between the penalty for an incorrect forecast and the reward for a correct forecast is a necessary condition for the existence of this revealing equilibrium. If the penalty is larger than the reward, the unique revealing equilibrium is a separating equilibrium, where only the low quality signal is disclosed in order to induce the rival's imitation. On the other hand, if the reward is much larger than the penalty, the unique revealing equilibrium is a pooling equilibrium, where the signal is always revealed in order to induce the rival's deviation. If the reward is not much larger than the penalty, no revealing equilibrium is robust to a costly disclosure.

信息经济学博弈论微观经济学信号传递