Statistical Modelling of a Terrorist Network
本文通过潜在类别模型和贝叶斯模型比较方法,分析恐怖主义网络的群体结构,识别出包含领导者和组织者的群体,并揭示领导者、训练者和执行攻击的“步兵”之间的层级关系。
Summary The paper investigates the group structure in a terrorist network through the latent class model and a Bayesian model comparison method for the number of latent classes. The analysis of the terrorist network is sensitive to the model specification. Under one model it clearly identifies a group containing the leaders and organizers, and the group structure suggests a hierarchy of leaders, trainers and ‘foot soldiers’ who carry out the attacks.